Showing posts with label carbon tax sortition consumption tax fare tax. Show all posts
Showing posts with label carbon tax sortition consumption tax fare tax. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Miscellaneous

A concern is who drafts the law, whether in a conventional democracy or a particpatory one. The American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEc), has corporations and state legislators as members. The corporations pay a total of six million dollars a year. They hold three annual conferences wehre companies present 'model bills' to the legilators. ALEC gives "scholarships" to the legislators to attend. The recent Arizona Immigration law was put together by corporations including Correction Corporation of America. NPR questioned whether ALEC should be treated as non-profit or a lobbying organization. Wikipedia, as usual, has a good article on ALEC. However, one should compare organizations such aas the National Conference of Commisions on Uniform State Laws that among other things is responsible for the Uniform Commercial Code, passed in all fifty states.

California Proposition 23 would suspend its greenhouse gas emissions law until the jobless rate falls to 5.5 per cen Valero Oil and owns several refineries in California and has contriubted five million dollars. Tesoro Energy is also contributing. However, in spite of the business money going to support the measure, Polls say that the greenhouse law will remain and the proposition to delay it will not pass. Of course, we know that the solution to the problem is a consumption and sortition based tax. They don't form pollution havens where all businesses relocate to the country with the least environmental restrictions.

In Brazil, voters can vote at age sixteen, a rarity. Fewer than half now choose to vote--when the youth first got the vote early, they were very excited.. On the subject of Brazil, Planet Money had a wonderful piece on how they solved their inflation of eighty per cent. Four College students were called in by the Minister of Finance to help control Inflation. They developed a "Unit of Real Value" It was parallel with the prices in the currency that was inflating. So everyone saw that each day widget was one URV. What changed was that one day a URL was ten cruzeiro's, the next twenty. Eventually, the government just declared that the URV was the real currency. A psychological trick, that worked and enabled the many accomplishemnts of which Brazil can be most proud.

Of course, could one get the same psychological affect by freezing and numbering the money supply.

We talked about Brazil and some other countrie's programs of participatory budgeting where the voters get to choose how some of the money is spent. My home state Illinois has a candidate for Governor on the "Independent" party. He is calling for particpatory democracy for part of the State budget.

My Chinese teacher was giving us the word for finance. (I have just started taking Chinese.) It contains the character for "bug" or "worm." I have blogged extensively about the financial system and whether we need one.

An educational toy and products company is having problems with its rock collection. Some of the minerals contain some lead. He is part of the set of business owners that are turning against the democrats--and an example of the complaints against stupid regulations. One of the ones I heard was about the requirements for having accessible drinking fountains. The plumbing code has rules about this. One might say these are too detailed. And they are ambiguous. And eHow has a somewhat different set. If one should inadvertently install a drinking fountain a little too high or a little too low, should one have to reinstall it? Oh and New York City Council voted to require all water fountains to be set up to fill up a water bottle; this is to give less money to the bottled water industry. I recall somebody complained that he inadvertently made his water fountains one inch too low for the Americans Disabilities Act regulations. He had to pay to have them all raised one inch. I wasn't able to find it by searching for it.
(Wall Street Journal October 12th 2010, CCLVII, NO 87., Elizabeth Williamson, "Business Backlash Grows"

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

NPR presentation on the sociology of the Tea Party Movement

I am sure most of the readers have heard of the American Tea Party movement. Seventeen million are sympathetic to that group, and several supported by them won major nominations in the Republican primary. But what is of interest to this blog is their structure, or lack thereof. is that they have no central hierarchy. They rely on social media to organize networks. The recognize, like Brian Martin did, that if one fights in one elections, one has to keep fighting every two years to keep one's gains.

Sociologists said that it is very difficult to have a national impact and be radically decentralized and not have a leader. Let's look at a example they raised. A member or pseudo-member makes a statement, perhaps a racist one. A news organization calls for a quote. If there is an office and a leader, the chief executive disowns the member and racism. Without an organization, there is noone to say they or are not a member or to expel them. However, with just a coordinator, she or he would summon a sortition jury who could prepare a statement. Of course, those who deal with an organization like a quick decision from the front office. But a randomly choosen group selected from those who made themselves available at a given time and contacted by cell phones can still respond quickly. My University is starting a Presidential Search as Dr. Alvin Goldfarb announced his retirement next June. I asked, "why do we need a Presdent." The issue of someone to be a spokesperson was raised.

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Energy, Growth and Sustainability, Thoughtful Thursday

SPRU Electronic Working Paper Number 185, ENERGY, GROWTH AND SUSTAINABILITY: FIVE PROPOSITIONS, Steve Sorrell, March 2010

The modern financial system means that most of the money supply is interest-bearing debt. This article cites several references, which I list below for follow up where people proposed one hundred percent reserve banking. It is a theme that Anne Pettifor spoke in her book. And it would also re resolved under a share economy. Because of the reserve-banking-based economy, the developed world cannot shift to a low-consumption pattern without financial crises. This issue was taken up in several comments to Gail the Actuaries post in the Oil Drum this May Eigth about the debt rate, where one comment said if "wipe out all debt" would "wipe all money" if we ever have a jubilee. In the old days, whoever possesed the money at the time of the jubilee would keep it and would then have purchasing power to reprime the pump. Is this true when so much of the money is based upon the fractional reserves banking system?. It seems that if one has lots of bankruptcies or a Jubilee-approach or liquidations of companies, a participatory-democracy case-by-case approach needs to be taken to ensure that the person who lied about their income on their mortgage application, engaged in unproductive financial engineering, does not get left with a totally unfair share of the purchasing poewr. And we protect the person who worked hard for a pension or the person of modest income who scrimped and saved a million dollars over a life time, a la Millionaire Next Door.

One would think when our engineers develop better ways to use energy, efficiency, our economy will use less energy. That is, if an automobile has better miles per gallon, less gasoline is consumed. However, some indivdiuals may find more money in their pocket, which will lead to more spending. A little bit of it is a direct rebound effect--it costs less to drive so we drive more, but probably, this is not elastic. But the global effects are different. The Bessmer Steel process used less energy than the alternative--more rails and more transportation and all the economic goods that come from economic productivity. Similar things happened with motors, the steam energy making it more efficient to mine coal, which meant that more coal was available. The latter was observed in 1865 by Jevons--hence the name, Jevons paradox.

California sets energy efficiency requirements for new television sets. But it does not do anything to get consumers to purchase a smaller Television and save energy that way. Their web site says "Consumers will always have the freedom to buy any size or style TV they like." Compare and contrast the sortition-based consumption-based badness tax.

And this article confirmed something I cited earlier in the United States. Britain reduced its carbon emissions at home, but this at the same time that it imported products that were made by burning lots of coal elsewhere.

To follow up on future Thoughtful Thursdays

  1. Fisher I (1936) 100% Money New York Adelphi
  2. Fisher I The debt-deflation theory of great depressions" Econometrica October 1933
  3. Friedman M. (1960) A Programme for Monetary Stability New York, Fordham University Press
  4. Jackson T. (2000() "Prosperity without growth? The transition to a sustainable economy" Sustainable Development Commission
  5. Douthwaite, R. The Ecology of Money Dublin Ireland: Theo Foundation of Economics of Stability (FEASTA)
  6. Simons H. (1948) Economic Policy for a Free Society Chicago: Univerity of Chicago Press
  7. Soddy F, 1926, Wealth, Virtual Wealth and Debt London George Aleln and UNW
On the rebound effect and energy efficiency:
  1. Rosenberg N. (1989) Energy Efficient Technologyies: Past, Present and Future Perspectives How Far can the World Get on Energy Efiicnecy Alone Oak Ridge National Labs.
  2. Sanne C. (2000) "Dealing with Environmental Savings in a Dynamical Economy How to Stop Chasiong YOur Tail in the Pursuit of Sutainability" Energy Policy 28 6 to 7 487 to 95
  3. Sanne C. (2002) Willing Consumers or Locked in? Policies for Sustainable Consumption" Ecological Ecoomics 47 273 to 287.
  4. Saunders H. D. (2000) "A view from the Macro Side: Rebound, backfire, and Khazzoom-Brookes." Energy Poicy 286 t to 7 439 to 49, 2000
  5. Sorrell S. (2007) "The Rebound Effect: An Assessment of the Evidence for Economy-Wide Energy Saviongs from Improved Energy Efficiency"
  6. Sorrell, S. and J. Dimitropoulous (2007a) "The Rebound effect: Definitions, Limitations and Extensions" Ecological Economics 65 to 3 636 to 649
  7. Victor, P. A. (2008) Managing without Growth: Slower by Design, Not Disaster Edward Elgar

Monday, May 3, 2010

Warren Buffet came out in support of Value Added Tax.

Warren Buffet came out in support a Value-Added-Tax. I proposed a Badness Added Tax, which is a sortition-based consumption tax. It has the advantages that it promotes exports as the Value Added Tax, And it also deals withtthe pollution haven issue--a country that has loose environmental or labor standards can sell its products cheaper displacing domestic industry in the country that wishes to have better environmental or labor standards.

Monday, April 26, 2010

Environmental Values Clash: Green vs. Green

Environmental and related values compete. Brazil plans to build " huge dam in para. It will provide six per cent of the country's electricity needs. But it will displate 20,000 indigenous. Foreign Policy described the obvious reaction in a country when foreign governments or do-gooders tell them how to handle their environmental needs--they view them as patronizing and people who have screwed up their own area and are now telling other people not to and who have no experience on the ground. (The head of a logging group, 'To speak about the Amazon, an indivdiual must have come down at least once with malaria, be bitten by a snake...only flies first class.. five-star hotels.')

And they wish to develop solar energy in the Majove desert in California-- great for the environment, except for the damage to the fragile ecosystems in the desert. This pits green against green

Would sortition juries sort this out better in approving investments for retirement savings and for wait to be rewarded until we really know" accounts, and in a sortition tax.

Friday, April 9, 2010

Employer Mandates Including Breast Milk and the Sortition Tax

A new employer mandate--that companies with more than fifty employees provide a space for women to express milk for their baby. There are many mandates existing or proposed:

  1. Vacations
  2. Sick Leave
  3. Family and Medical Leave Act
  4. and, of course, American Disabilities Act
But what are the incentives for a company to provide more than required or for a business of fourty-eight employers to provide these valuable benefits? And for some businesses, these are burdensome or at least irritating.

Rather, at consumption time, businesses should be rated and compete on how they treat their employees, and those that treat their employees well, pay less taxes and of course, have a competitive advantage in the American Market Place. And this goes for those who export their products into the United States as well. I call this a consumption-based sortition tax.

What are now mandates would be a checklist for the sortition jury and possibly even a set of guidelines for them.

Thursday, April 8, 2010

Krugman on carbon tax, capa nd trade

Paul Krugman just wrote a wonderful New York Times article and a blog post which outlines cap and trade, carbon tax and regulation the economic analysis thereof. He did not consider our sortition tax.

He mentioned Arthur Cecil Pigou who published The Economics of Welfare in 1920, which I will add to the future Thoughtful Thursday list

Thursday, April 1, 2010

Soda Tax

Another article on the soda tax--Philadelphia's Mayer is talking 24 cents on a can of soda. Of course seven cents or twenty-four cents per soda is not going to solve the obesity problem. We need to move all taxes to fight badness.

Monday, March 15, 2010

Mechanical Engineering Magazine article on environmental assessment of products

Jean Thilmany, "Green Decisons" Mechanical Engineering Volume 132, Number Three, Pages 40 to 42

This blog's first article talked about a badness tax, applied by sortition, to each product. Engineers are developing software and data collections track the energy, cadmium, lead and other hazardous substances in the components of the things they build. This includes accounting for the energy/carbon/etc. in transporting the goods. As I am sure everyone knows, we now have sophisticated supply chain management systems. As the article says, when companies buy a product, they will be paying for the supply chain records of everything that went into it. The standards for a product to be "green" are less advanced than for a building to get certified. However, te Europeans do have standards for hazardous materials in automotive parts and disposing of electronic waste (Restriction of Hazardous Substances Directive and Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment Directive) which is the impetus for some of this software development. Carnegie Mellon's Green Design Institute uses Input-output analysis to estimate the energy and other inputs into any product. Thus, one can look at a car, and it tracks the energy and knows how energy is used in the major parts, and transportation of each of these parts.

A sortition-based consumption tax system would allow different firms to compete on information collection and the jury can be reasonable in what it demands. unlike a regulatory agency. Toyota wold be expected to do more research on the energy costs of its cars and the components therein, than a small company making a small run of a specialized tool.

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Public Finance in Democratic Processes by Buchanan

James P. Buchanan, Public Finance in Democratic Processes: Fiscal Institutions and Indvidual Choice, The University of North Carolina Press, Chapel Hill, 1967.

Earmarking

The public can vote on the budget and tax rates, independently, or in the aggregate. That is, they can vote on a budget in one section of the web screen, how much to be spent on each item. Separately, they can come up with the taxing algorithm.

I proposed such a solution a while ago when many States were confronting (and now are) facing red ink and difficulties in achieving the political will to confront their budget problem. One can vote for the taxes to support all public goods combined. One also votes independently on how the money is to be spent.

However, another option is for the voting system to have the voters vote separately for each public good and for the taxes to carry them out. This was implicit in the discussion of Lindahl Equilibrium Dr. Buchanan has some graphical and algebraic models of the differences. I will create my own set for this group.(But I will probably do it during a break when I am not teaching.) In 1963, 41 per cent of state tax collections to specific functions and it was over fifty percent in the 1950's. Buchanan showed that the general fund mechanism gave a suboptimal voting and people would be more likely to get the amount of expenditures they wanted if they could vote independently for the taxes for each of two public goods. The Libertarian Right believes that having taxes earmarked for specific expenditures would better inform voters of what each public benefit from government truly costs. (This reminds me of "Every one wants to live at the expense of the state. They forget that the state counts to live at the expense of everyone" Frederic Bastiat 1801-1850 which is the essay for the 2010 Sir John W. Templeton Fellowship.) In fact, it would lead to more of a participatory democracy. And, from a participatory democracy approach, feminist, green and Catholic Social Thinkers also advocating more earmarking with specific voting for each category or type of expenditure.

Way back in 1963, Mueller surveyed individuals whether the government should spend more on various programs. Separately, they survry whether more should spent on the same programs, "even if taxes must be raises." The latter had a dramatic decrease in expenditures. Help for older people dropped by half from 70 percent to 34 percent Highways dropped from 29 to 10 percent. We see the same thing in health care today 67% of Americans said that everyone should have at least some health insurance yet 64% are opposed to a tax penalty.

James Q. Wilson and Edward Banfield looked at votes for spending in municipalities. Both low and high-income people voted for public spending--the middle income group tended to vote against taxes and spending.

Tax Knowledge

People's Knowledge of their taxes is somewhat limited. When asked what they paid in their tax, seventy percent can name a number within twenty-five percent of their true liability. Of course, now people would have better access. I would propose that they bring up their Turbo Tax or whatever tax program they use when they vote. Researchers found that lower-income tax payers tended to overestimate the bite from taxation. A study in Germany found that people had even less of a knowledge of excise taxes. And a study in Britain found that the public had a very poor knowledge of how much was spent by the government on each area and overestimated the percentage of government paid by user fees, e. g. Medicare Recipient's pay some copays as well as some of the cost of Medicare Part B. How much of the total Medicare expenditures do these fees cover?

Fiscal Constitutionalism

Dr. Buchanan talks about fiscal constitutionalism, the tendency to keep the same tax mechanisms. One would not expect country A to tax by property taxes and a VAT tax in 2010 and then switch to a personal income tax and an income tax in 2011 and then switch again in 2012. The rates may change, and of course, loopholes and "tax expenditures" or new credits will be added from year to year.

Thus, there are two levels of choices in participatory democracy. A month-to-month or year-to-year choice on the levels of things: should the income tax rate on those earning $70,000 to $80,000 be fifteen percent or eighteen percent, should a retiree on social security under these circumstances earn $13,000.00 per year or $13,473.00 per year? And there might be bigger choices when a country is being formed--should we have an income tax at all, how should the big decisons be made. How do we structure a participatory democracy Constitutional Convention?

Equal Preference Models

Chapter Eleven, particular its appendix, looks at Duncan Black's Committee models . Assume a bunch of people are voting on a tax rate or expenditure rate. Proposals to change tax or expenditure rate are accepted or rejected based on a majority basis. Duncan Black showed that the tax rate would tend to be the median of the preferred rate for each of the voters assuming that the preferences were single peaked. How can we ensure that the voters would not change their relative positions based upon a proporational distribution. Buchanan shows that the rate of increase from the tax be enough to outweight the income distribution. Individuals earning more would probably want more of the public good, let's say education or public support of culture. A good tax system would not make a higher income person more likely to vote for a higher tax for culture relative to a lower income person than they would be under a general system.

Proportional Taxation Over Time and Excise Taxation

Are excise taxes better than income taxes? Are progressive income taxes better than a proportional or flat tax. Dr. Buchanan looks at an individual who expects a different income at one time than another, e. g., less income during retirement or more income Or what about the individual who is uncertaint of how much they will make, e. g. a business owner in a cyclical feel.

Classical Economists view a tax on a specific product as a distortion as individuals will change their choices of which goods to buy independent of the purchase. (I saw this argument in my Intermediate Economics textbook "The Deadweight Loss of Excise Taxation" in Edward K. Browning and Mark A. Zupan, MicroEconomics 8/e, page 273 to 275) They would argue that an excise tax or consumption tax might create distortions while an income or direct tax would less. Alternatives are

  1. lump-sum payment (like a poll tax)
  2. Proportional income tax
  3. A Progresive tax
  4. A general consumption tax
  5. or excise taxes
But, individuals expenditure needs are different over time; they might need to spend more some years on necessities in some years. An excise tax is a better method in this case as the taxation could fall heavier on luxuries (he terms these "residual needs") than on things that whose expenditures are likely to vary such as college education for children or medical care. But, of course, the American taxation system does allow us to save for our children's education, our retirement and gives a deduction for medical taxes. And to some extent, the sortition based consumption tax does this, as each item is taxed not only on its badness but whether it is a basic good or a luxury. In other words, the tax rate on fine wines and caviar is higher than that on healthy food staples. Of course this is true because individuals pay more interest than the government does.

Now, let us look at intertemporal distribution. Individuals can always lend to the government at the government rate--they can buy treasury bills. However, if they need to borrow, they will pay more interest. In this situation, a person woudl prefer a proportional rate when they expect their income to vary more than their spending.

To be looked at for for Future Thoughtful Thursdays

  1. Duncan Black The Theory of Committees and Elections Cambridge: Cambridge University Press 1958
  2. James Q. Wilson and Edward C. Banfield " Voting Behavior on Municipal Public Expenditures" in the Public Economy of Urban Communities edited by J. Margolis, 1965, also "Public-regardingness as a Value Premise in Voting Behavior" American Political Science Review LVIII December 1964, 876 to 887.
  3. James H. Buchanan, "Public Choice: The Origins and Development of a Research Program"

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Sortition Consumption Tax versus Corporate Tax and Export competitiveness

My very first article was on a sortition based consumption tax. One of its advantages was that it did not favor imports the way a carbon tax or cap and trade system does.

A corporate tax that covers profits made abroad discourages exports as shown in two articles on the new corporate tax proposals that President Obama proposed. In particular, it adds twelve billion in taxes on businesses' overseas income.

  1. Matthew J. Slaughter, "How to Destroy American Jobs" Wall Street JournalM February 3 2010, Page A17
  2. John D. McKinnon "Plan would Raise Taxes on Business" Wall Street Journal Volume CCLV Number 26, Page Six, Thursday February 2, 2010

Embodied Energy and Exports

  1. ONe quarter of World Wide Emissions are due to imports and exports
  2. Same percentage for China
  3. If the US carbon dioxide were done on a net basis, our emissions would be eleven percent higher than our current rate

Story argues that carbon dioxide should be applied to imports and exports, something I have argued here in the sortition-based badness tax. (Suprisingly , China and India argued vociferously for this at Copenhagen.)

Friday, January 1, 2010

Excise Taxes and Fees versus general Taxation

At the beginning of the year, NPR has a good summary of States choosing specific taxes versus a general tax increase like a n increase sales tax across the board or a property tax increase. Of course, the alternative is a unique tax for each item, determined by sortition jury. This was the first posting I made to this blog.

Monday, December 21, 2009

China Emission Monitoring and the Sortition Tax

Unfortunately, a sticking point in cliamate change negotiations is monitoring emissions. China has been hesitant to allow this feeling that monitoring all its businesses would be an infringement of its sovereignty.

Yet a sortition based consumption tax would solve the problem. I mentioned this in the first post of this blog. Each item or service sold, whether imported or produced here, would be subject to a tax. It would be applied in a competitive fashion. That is all the car producers would compete as to which is the most environmentally friendly, and takes care of its workers, and produces products that are safe and don't consume much gasoline, or perhaps are not dependent upon gasoline. Similarly, toy producers, computer manufacturers and others would compete to avoid the tax.

The sortition jury would vote to tax them. Those businesses that agree to monitoring would have an advantage. The sortition jury could also allocate up to five percent of the tax collected to both government agencies and non-profits who run monitoring programs. Businesses would be free to decline monitoring programs that it felt were too intrusive. However, they would be at a competitive disadvantage in getting a low tax rate.

The agencies and NGO's would have an incentive to design monitoring programs that are reliable but that companies were willing to accept--otherwise, they would get less of the money available for such purposes.

Seven to one Americans said the Administration should put a higher priority on improving the economy than reducing global warming. Thus, the sortition juries would look at a companies record of providing stable employment to Americans and its environmental record.

Note this is applied to labor standards, providing health care to its workers and above all environmental issues, both conventional and those associated with global warming.

Friday, November 13, 2009

Calories, Fast Food Restaurants, and the Badness tax

We found that requiring fast food chains to post calories on their menus does not reduce peoople buying the fattening foods. This editorial argues that the poor are extremely price sensitive and that one should provide "proper incentive" I suggested replacing our tax system with a "badness tax" on items which would include the healthfulness or lack thereof as well as other factors like global warming, conventional pollution, and labor standards.

Sunday, October 25, 2009

Wage Stickiness

I have been long aware of the problem with sticky prices and wages. That is why we have Keynesian economics, fiscal stimulus and the like. I said the solutionw as to make wages a share of revenue and I found that someone else already had this idea, L. Weitzman and his book on the Share Economy. He said wages shoudl be a percentage of gross revenues. I also read a book, Why Wages don't fall during a Recession by Truman Bewley. He interviewed employers and simply asked thim a simple question: Why don't you just cut everyone's wages during hard times rather than lay them off?

AS I heard the Savings and Loan Crisis of the 1990's I came up with the idea of the share economy, where all payemnts are simply a share of income. This is a cure for all sorts of financial crises.

Dr. Krugman cites this stickiness of prices in his proposal to rebalance the American Trade Deficit, let the dollar fall, beautiful in his citing of evidence about stickiness and relative real exchange rates. But he doesn't look at the alternatives,

  1. removing the stickiness of wages
  2. a consumption tax, particularly one aimed at badness

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

Michael Pollen "Big Food versus Big Insurance"

Many people have advocated that something be done about American diet and the costs of health. Mr. Pollen says that the insurance industry will go after food consumption and diet. Of course, in my very first posting, I proposed a badness-based consumption tax, with food being taxed on the basis of its healthiness for both the consumer and the environment.

Monday, September 14, 2009

Embodied Energy in Imports for Carbon Tax

One of the problems with most carbon tax or cap and trade systems, is that they allow imports that have a high carbon foot print or embodied energy. The carbon tax must be applied to imports, otherwise that favors imports from those countries that do not regulate their greenhouse gasses. This is just part of the pollution haven factor which I cited in my first blog post.

Some people recognize this, including the Mine worker's Union President, Cecil Roberts complained about China and India which are producing a coal-fired power plant every week.